English Premier League – Leicester v Watford – 1×2 – Watford @ 5.0
Watford can probably be labelled the most hit and miss side throughout the first third of this EPL season, but boy are they exciting!
After losing 5-0 to Liverpool at home, they went and scored five at Goodison Park!
And after a poor performance at home to Southampton, they played well against Arsenal and then stunned Manchester United by kicking four!
Leicester on the other hand have been disappointing, and have just two more points than Watford do as they sit in 12th position. 5.00 is a big price.
Leicester copped three at home to Chelsea which could have easily been six or seven.
I think Watford at 5.00 is massively overs, and we’ll back our boys here for a win. 1 unit
NBA – Golden State Warriors vs. Portland Trail Blazers – Handicap (incl. Overtime) Golden State Warriors -5.5 @ 1.83
The Warriors have somewhat surprisingly been the best team in the NBA this season, with a near pristine 16-2 record on the year so far.
Behind the unbelievable play of MVP favourite Stephen Curry and great contributions from his surrounding role players, Golden State have been a difficult juggernaut to bring down this year.
No one really expected them to top the NBA this season without the second best shooter of all time in Klay Thompson, but they’ve still managed to do so.
The Warriors rank 1st in the league for Points Per Game (114.3, and 2 points in front of seconnd placed Utah) and they rank a clear first in the league for average scoring margin – incredibly, the Warriors outscore their opponents by an average of +13.5 points per game so far this year, with Utah running a clear second with an average margin of +8.9.
This is largely helped by the Warriors defense, which conveniently also ranks 1st in the league (conceding just 100.8 points per game).
They’re playing some of the best basketball we’ve seen from their recent dynasty run.
The Trail Blazers are a fine team, currently placed 6th in the West with a record of 10-9.
However, with the defensive sieve that is Damian Lillard lining up at point guard being tasked with stopping a red-hot Stephen Curry (the Blazers rank eighth-worst in the league at defending opposing point guards) and the combined offensive and defensive talents of this Warriors squad… we just don’t see Portland covering this spread on Warriors home turf at Oakland Arena. 1 unit.
English Premier League – Liverpool vs Southampton – Liverpool to win to nil – Yes @ 2.41
After a decent start to the season, Southampton may be on the decline following their 2-1 loss at Carrow Road last time out. Ralph Hassenhüttl’s side are still in 13th but have some tough fixtures coming up against Arsenal, Leicester and this weekend, Liverpool.
There’s not much that needs to be said of Jurgen Klopp’s side other than the fact they won 2-0 against Porto midweek, with a host of first team players rested.
You would expect them to be able to keep a clean sheet here as well, against a side who are 18th for goals scored in the league this season and have only found the net on multiple occasions once since August. 2 units
English Premier League – Brentford vs Everton – Asian Total – Over 2.5 goals @ $2.11
Brentford have stuck to their pre-season promise, and continued to play their free-flowing football which won them praise last season, even if at times its been to their detriment.
They also showed last week they have character.
Brentford’s last 4 EPL games have featured at least 3 match goals, and their matches have been typically entertaining.
Though not in form, they’ll surely fancy themselves at home against an injury ravaged Everton.
Both teams have noticeable defensive frailties, so overs on this game seems good value. 1.5 units
English Premier League – Brighton Vs Leeds 1×2 – Draw @ 3.50
After a stellar start to the season Brighton have started to come unstuck over the last few weeks. Four wins in their first five games coupled with an attractive possession based style of play led to some talk of challenging for European spots come the end of the season.
However they’re now winless in the last seven, drawing four of those games and losing three, with some curious looking results in those games.
A creditable 2-2 draw with Liverpool was offset with a 0-0 against Norwich and a 1-1 against Newcastle.
It looks again like the main issue for the Seagulls is scoring goals, with them only scoring more than once in three fixtures this season.
It’s hard to be too sympathetic here since it was also an issue for them last year, and with them surely having funds available after the 50m sale of Ben White to Arsenal in the summer it seems a mystifying decision by Graham Potter to not have invested in a striker.
This weekend they welcome Leeds to the Amex Stadium, who currently sit in 17th in the league with eleven points from twelve games.
They’ve clearly had struggles of their own when it’s come to scoring goals this season, with Patrick Bamford missing with injury, having only played the first few games.
They controlled the first half against Spurs last time out, going into half time one nil up, before a resurgent Spurs came back and won 2-1 in the second.
This has been a hallmark of how Leeds have been this season, with some good play but no cutting edge to speak of.
They did have both Raphinha and Rodrigo missing against Spurs, with both of them passed fit to face Brighton in what must be a massive boost for Marcelo Bielsa and his paper thin squad.
Only three other teams have drawn more games than these two this season and I think this may well finish in a draw as well.
Leeds can cause most sides problems but have struggled to put teams away resulting in dropped points all across this season, while Brighton are also showing all the same traits after their fast start. 1.5 units
English Premier League – Burnley v Tottenham – 1×2 Tottenham @ 2.05
- Dom Rae
Before Thursday’s Europa League defeat to NS Mura, Tottenham had looked to have turned a corner under Antonio Conte, picking up a spirited point away to Everton and coming from behind to beat Leeds at home last weekend.
While that setback in Europe came as a major surprise, they played two thirds of the game with ten men and had made nine changes from their previous EPL game.
However, perhaps most importantly, Harry Kane was back on the scoresheet after an uncharacteristic goal drought dating back over a month for his club.
Burnley’s home form has been solid and they showed a lot of character to come from behind to grab a point against Chelsea and last weekend at home to Crystal Palace, yet they still languish in the bottom three though and Conte will see this as a good opportunity to get back in touch with the top four.
Spurs won 1-0 at Turf Moor a few weeks ago in the Carabao Cup and can be backed at at shade over evens to repeat that feat which looks a good betting proposition here. 1 unit
NFL – Green Bay Packers vs. Los Angeles Rams – Green Bay Packers Winner (Incl. Overtime) @ 2.02
This game opened up with Green Bay at ~1.83/1 point on the spread, but with news that Aaron Jones and Allen Lazard both being questionable for the match after missing Thursdays practice, it has flipped the script.
This is on top of Aaron Rodgers not being fully fit, but this didn’t stop him last week leading the offence to post 31pts in their loss to their rivals the Vikings, in Minnesota.
But with this being an all-NFC match-up, and Rams a genuine contender, you expect all three of the mentioned to be playing. And the three of them have enough game-time together over the years to make practicing that little less vital.
However it’s GB defence why I’m willing to gamble on the Packers.
They’re coming off of a bad game allowing 34 points, granted. Prior to that, Green Bay held the Arizona Cardinals, Kansas City Chiefs, and Seattle Seahawks to only 34 combined points.
Then add in their league-low average of conceding 11 points per game at Lambeau Field, where the weather will be a stark contrast to California (about 25 degrees difference!) 1 unit
CSGO – Liquid vs Nip – Map Handicap: Nip -1.5 @ 1.82
With Liquid facing internal issues and a roster change in the near future, it is unlikely that we will see them go out of their way to compete at a competitive level.
Although Nip haven’t had the best form these past few matches, their side looks a lot more cohesive in comparison. Expecting Nip to take this 2:0. 1 unit
NBA – Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks – Winner (Incl. Overtime) – Milwaukee Bucks @ 1.72
We could say that the main reason why I see value on the Bucks is because they are on a 5-game winning streak while the Nuggets are on a 5-game losing streak.
However, I feel like we’re comparing apples to oranges here because the Bucks were up against subjectively weaker teams while the Nuggets were up against real contenders like the Suns or the Bulls.
After questioning myself just then let’s now look at the lineups.
The Bucks won’t be missing any key players that’s for sure.
The Nuggets on the other hand already have Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. out, undoubtedly two of the best players to support their centrepiece Nikola Jokic, who by the way is listed as questionable for tomorrow’s game due to a wrist injury.
Granted the Bucks are far from their ’20-’21 season form but with a more intact core line-up, they should be able to win this one against the Nuggets. 1.5 units
A-League – Sydney FC vs Macarthur FC – Asian Total Under 2.5 @ 2.03
Sydney play Macarthur in this tantalising week 2 matchup. Both teams are coming off low scoring draws. Sydney a 0-0 draw with Western Sydney Wanderers, while Macarthur drew 1-1 with Wellington Phoenix.
The unders came through on both games and I think I can see it happening again here. Sydney have been the dominant force in the a-league making the grand final the past three seasons, winning two of them.
Their defence has been the backbone of this success, with last season conceding only 23 goals from 26 matches, and I think they will prove hard for Macarthur to break down here. Macarthur are in their 2nd season after being added in as the 12th team to the league in the previous season.
They will be a little more settled this season, and have some promising new signings, with Craig Noone and Davila being added to the squad.
They have a fairly strong squad overall and should prove a challenging opponent for Sydney here. I think this will be a tight contest, and will be a low scoring affair with the under 2.5s being good value. 1 unit
Bundesliga – RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen – 1×2 & Both Teams to Score RB Leipzig & Yes @ 3.00
RB Leipzig are in fairly decent form going into the match against Leverkusen having gone undefeated in 7 of their last 8 games.
Their very last game saw them triumphant against Club Brugge with a 5-0 in the Champions League. It was an outstanding showcase of what they can really do when they take control of a game.
Going against Leverkusen at Home, with the excitement and good form from the Champions League, RB Leipzig are set to put on a winning performance.
However I don’t doubt Leverkusen will fight back to defend their 4th spot.
With both sides having some injuries in defence and midfield, I can see this game having plenty of goals, with Leipzig snatching the win and closing the gap in the top of the table. 1 unit