English League League – Chelsea vs Liverpool – 1×2 – Draw 3.45
Two sides desperate to keep at bay with what seem to be eventual champions Manchester City, Chelsea host Liverpool at home in the New Year to kick off what will be a tough period for both sides.
COVID issues and injuries at Stamford Bridge seem to have been the catalyst for an intense drop in form, and an upcoming AFCON calendar for some key Liverpool players will make keeping in arms length with the top of the table rather tough.
Chelsea have drawn three out of their last five, with the two sides accounting for 11 draws between them so far this season.
It’s two teams who won’t want to lose, and what normally is a cagey affair may be the same come Sunday night.
Can’t split the two sides at the moment, and after a draw in their first encounter this season, we’ll back the draw again at odds. 1.5 units
English Premier League – Brentford vs Aston Villa – 1×2 Aston Villa @ 2.55
Due to their scheduled match on the 28th against Leeds being postponed thanks to numerous COVID cases in the Leeds squad, Aston Villa will head to Brentford in the New Year for their first fixture since Boxing Day.
They’ll be coming off a full week of rest and will have manager Steven Gerrard back on the touchline after his recovery from COVID.
Villa have looked far better under Gerrard than they had earlier in the season under Dean Smith, with more assured play in midfield and creativity going forward.
They’ve looked good in patches against both Chelsea and Liverpool despite losses, and have snatched all three points against solid sides in Brighton and Leicester in the past month or so.
Brentford meanwhile have dropped points against Brighton, Leeds, Norwich and Newcastle since the beginning of November.
With a fixture at Man City to be played tonight (at the time of writing) it’s likely that Brentford will be tired and on the back foot after a loss when, three days later, they host a well-rested and healthy Villa side looking to get back on track. 2 units
English Premier League – Watford vs Tottenham – Total & Both Teams to Score – Over 2.5 & Yes @ 2.21
The Hornets are on a tough run at the moment, with no points in their last five league outings.
They will play their fourth home game in what will be their last five matches this weekend against a Tottenham side who look to be back on track under Antonio Conte.
A comfortable 3-0 win at home to Crystal Palace was then followed by a 1-1 draw at Southampton, where they really should’ve taken all three points after the Saints went down to 10 men in the first half.
One thing both sides aren’t shy on are goals.
Spurs have conceded in three of their last four league matches, whilst Watford have been unlucky in not keeping a clean sheet so far this season.
At Vicarage Road, we’ll back them in to find the back of the Tottenham net at least once, especially considering the form of summer signing Emmanuel Dennis.
This should be a fun game for the neutrals and with plenty of goals likely, let’s hope Watford get the right end of the stick! 1 unit
A-League – Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix – Both Teams To Score No @ $2.13
A covid interrupted schedule now makes this the standalone match of this weekends A-League.
Each team should be well prepped – given they’ve both had cancelled recent games and haven’t played for two weeks – but neither team have set the league on fire so far.
Both have scored just 4 goals from their 5 games so far, and Adelaide are yet to even manage a win.
Not expecting too much goals here, so think this selection is decent value. 1 unit
English Premier League – Everton Vs Brighton 1×2 – Brighton @ 2.75
Considering the current state of the Everton squad I’m not sure why they’re favourites for their game against Brighton. Injuries to key players coupled with a covid outbreak has left their squad down to the bare bones, with their last match against Burnley postponed as a result.
A few of the covid affected squad may be back, but that doesn’t change how dire Everton’s form has been post October, with only the three teams currently occupying the relegation spots also below them in the form table.
Brighton on the other hand have relatively few injury concerns and are fresh off the back of a 1-1 draw with Chelsea, a game which based on chances created they’ll feel they should’ve won.
Indeed the perennial issue with Graham Potters side is putting the ball in the back of the net, with their XG amongst the highest of any team in the league.
They’ve racked up too many draws in games they should’ve won this season (and that may end up being the case again here) but I think 2.75 on them to win just looks like where the value is. 1 unit
Big Bash League – Hobart Hurricanes vs Brisbane Heat – D’Arcy Short Total Runs Over 21.5 @ 1.85
- Dom Rae
The Hurricanes are in great order at the moment and while Ben McDermott has rightly taken all the plaudits for his back to back centuries, his team mate D’Arcy Short has been in good touch as well.
He’s dropped down to No.3 in the order and has handed over the big hitting role to the two openers, allowing him to play the anchor role.
He has a BBL average of 34.33 this year and has scored more than 20 in all but one of his appearances at Blundstone Arena, so a line of 21.5 looks generous here and he can outscore that in Hobart on New Years Day. 1 unit
PDC World Darts Championships – Humphries, Luke v Anderson, Gary – Humphries, Luke @ 2.21 – Winner
After a 1.5 Unit bad beat on Ian White at 2.55 last week – White was 3-0 up and had a match dart in the 6th set – it does feel like I am chasing.
However, it was only a feckless showing from White that helped Gary Anderson through rather than an exceptional comeback. Anderson finished on a three-dart-average of just 90.31.
Last night Anderson eventually got over the line against Rob Cross (4-3), but Cross was averaging 88.06 for the first five sets and still managed to take it the distance; Anderson is not in great form.
The Bo9 format does favour him however. He’s been there numerous times, but going into the match with Cross he didn’t know what darts to use after feeling uncomfortable, and in his post-match interview he indicated he may change again.
This discontent speaks volumes and as he’s blown hot and cold from set-to-set all tournament – you’ve got to think Humphries stands a very good chance.
Luke Humphries, somewhat harshly, trailed 3-1 to an impressive Chris Dobey but shown some serious bottle to win it 4-3, throwing a total of 14x 180s en route.
‘Cool Hand’ Luke had a bye in the previous after MvG withdrew for C-19, so sample size is smaller, but tournament averages sway towards Humphries over Anderson, with Anderson just nicking the Checkout %: 3DA 96.46 vs 93.69; 171+ scores per leg: 0.41 vs 0.27; Checkout (%): 41.54 vs 41.9. We’re probably counting on Humphries getting the job done early… 1 unit
NFL – Washington Football Team vs Philadelphia Eagles –
Total: Over 43 @ 1.71
With Covid having a huge impact on many teams these past few weeks, anything could happen before this game starts.
With only two more games left in the regular season, this will be an elimination game for Washington but also a must win for the Eagles as well.
Looking at this season’s stats, Washington have averaged 21 points per game at home while the Eagles average a decent 26 points when away.
Furthermore, clashes at FedEx Field average 45.9 total match points this season. Expecting a close match between two sides in desperate need of a win if they want to make it to playoffs. 1 unit
Dota2 Huya Winter Invitational – Invictus Gaming – Royal Never Give Up – Total Maps – Over 2.5 @1.91
Who would have thought the top teams from both groups would both lose to OB.Neon and be sent down to the lower bracket?
Now we get what could have been the grand final matchup in the lower bracket final.
At this point in the tournament where there’s too much information about a team’s favoured draft and play style, matches tend to be really competitive and close which is why I’m backing the Over 2.5.
Also worth noting that when both teams went against OB.Neon, both matches went to the 3rd map. 0.5 unit
La Liga – Mallorca vs. Barcelona – 1×2 Barcelona @2.19
A match that will be massively affected by injuries Covid, with both teams currently having 5-10 first team players out with either covid or injury. Although Barcelona have been struggling so far this season, I believe they have the class and depth in their squad to take this one out. Xavi took over as manager in November, and while they have struggled up till now, I believe they will start to turn things around, and against a Mallorca team that sit 15th on the ladder will be the start of their revival. 1.5 units
La Liga –Elche vs Granada – 1×2 Granada @ 3.30
Hereeeee we go
Granada have been through ups and downs this season but have proven to be a dangerous side to watch out for.
They have managed to stay within mid table positions thanks to their rapid attacking counters and grit and seem to be finding their form.
More recently, their win against Atletico Madrid showcased their potential, with their ability to absorb attacks and counter with success.
Although Elche have had a poor half of the season, they have proven to be able to get good results, especially at home.
They will be tough to deal with but an in-form Granada seem to be on their way to bring home another win and climb up the ladder, starting the year off right. 2 units