Croatia vs Spain – Double Chance – Croatia & Draw @ 2.29
Croatia snuck out of the group stage after a 3-1 win against a Scotland, which should give them the catapult they need to make a charge for the latter stages of the tournament. Spain on the other hand have looked a shadow of their late 2000’s-early 2010’s golden era, in spite of a 5-0 win against Slovakia. Although Spain should be favourites for this knockout match, don’t think that it’s a sure thing. Remember, Croatia made a World Cup Final three years ago and as their golden age draws to a close, they won’t want it to go to waste. With the potential for this to go to extra time and penalties, 2.29 to win or draw in 90 minutes seems too good to be true. Even though anything that is too good to be true usually is, we’re confident that the Croats will be fired up and won’t leave anything on the park. 1 unit.
Italy vs Austria – 1×2 & Total – Italy & Under 3.5 @ 1.88
The Italians have been one of the most impressive sides if not the most in the group stages of the Euros. Three wins and no goals conceded is about as perfect a start as you’d like. This rich vein of form has rewarded them with what seems to be a relatively comfortable opponent in Austria. David Alaba’s side were able to take two wins from their three games, but we would not be shocked in the slightest if their tournament ended here. Italy’s defence is once again, more impenetrable than Area 51 just like their 2006 World Cup winning side and against an Austria side who lack the quality up front that the Italians do, we expect an Italy win with no more than three goals. 2 units.
Belgium vs Portugal – Over 2.5 @ 2.08
Since the start of the 2021 calendar year these two teams have averaged 2.625 (BEL) & 2.125 (POR) goals over their 8 matches each. Of course some of these were Friendly matches, such as Belgium smacking Belarus 8-0 & the Portuguese beating Israel 4-0, but this has rolled over into the early stages of the Euros — both teams scored seven goals in the group stages and only one of the six fixtures involving these two teams had U2.5. Aside from the team statistics the attacking threat on the pitch (and subs bench!) is incredible, spearheaded by goalscorers Ronaldo (fav for golden boot) & Lukaku (2nd fav). There are plenty of goals and service for these two from their supporting casts of world class players: Kevin De Bruyne, Eden Hazard & Dries Mertens for Belgium; Bruno Fernandes (if he gets on the pitch…), Bernando Silva & Diogo Jota for Portugal. With a 38yo Pepe and an inferior GK at the heart of the Portuguese defence, and three different defensive selections in all three group games from Roberto Martinez after Timothy Castagne has been ruled out for the tournament, could attack be the best form of defence? 1 unit.
UFC Fight Night – Cyril Gane vs Alexander Volkov – Winner – Volkov @ 2.37
Ciryl Gane is an up and coming contender with recent wins over Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Junior dos Santos. Gane made his UFC debut in 2019, and now stands at 8-0 with six stoppages: three knockouts and three submissions. Volkov has championship experience as a former M-1 and Bellator belt holder. Volkov holds a 33-8 record with 22 knockout wins. Both of these fighters are primarily focused on the stand-up, with few takedown attempts, so this should be an explosive blow-for-blow encounter. Expect the experienced Russian to be too much for Bon Gamin. 1 unit.
CSGO ESL Gamers Without Borders – FaZe Clan vs BIG – Total Maps Over 2.5 @ 1.88
Expecting this match to go the distance, all the way to a third map, mainly due to two reasons. First, looking at the map win rate of each team for the past 3 months, each of them could have the luxury of choosing a map they’re strong at. Their best maps don’t coincide with each other, FaZe would most likely go for Mirage or Inferno and Big could go for Vertigo, Dust2, or even Overpass. The win rate for their map of choice is around 70% or better which means its highly likely they each take one map. Second reason is the history of FaZe Clan. They’ve been struggling to get good results after signing big names such as olofmeister or Twistzz. They are now in a 7 game losing streak, however, it’s not as bad as it seems. From those 7 games, 6 were best-of-3 and all of them went to the third map! 1.88 odds might be to good to pass up on so I’ll put 2 units in there.
Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions – 1×2 – Geelong @ 2.17
We’re taking a trip Down Under this week for what seems like great value. Coming off a win after the siren against the Bulldogs, Geelong looks to be in good form. Brisbane will be quite hard to beat at home, but Geelong have been quite consistent at away games. Geelong have won 4 of 5 past matches against Brisbane with a 1 point win earlier this season. Expecting this to be a close match. 2 units
Los Angeles Clippers vs Phoenix Suns – Winner – Suns @ 1.84
The Suns are the real deal. They currently lead the Western Conference Finals 2-0 after overcoming the Clippers in their two home games to open the series, and are just two more wins away from a berth in the NBA Finals. They’ve even managed to accomplish this without their general and star point guard, Chris Paul. He’s now back for Game 3, ready to help the Suns to their third series win on the road in Los Angeles. The Clippers have put up a very valiant fight in both matches in Phoenix this series, going down by slim margins on both occasions. It’s reasonable to expect them to be better at home here, but with Phoenix as slight favourites and getting back a hugely important player (whilst Clippers superstar Kawhi Leonard remains sidelined with a knee injury) we just can’t resist picking the Suns to continue their Cinderella season and edge closer to the ultimate prize. 1.5 units.
Melbourne City vs Sydney FC – To Qualify – Sydney FC @ 2.01
Melbourne City might have been the better team throughout the season, but Sydney FC are the more in-form team, winning their last 6 games on the trot. They’ve re-united both Bobo and Adam Le Fondre as their strike force up front (both signed in the second half of the season) and both have been banging in goals. Sydney have a habit of grinding out results in these big games, they’ve won the previous 2 Grand Finals in either ET or on penalties, and seem to have the edge on these big games. Melbourne City are missing the league’s runaway top goalscorer Jamie McLaren (away on international duty) which will really hurt them. Crowd restrictions mean they also won’t enjoy the home support they might otherwise have received. 1 unit.
Multi odds – 320.21*
*Odds subject to change
If you like our selections for this week, feel free to copy from sport:11670679.
Best of luck!