The less said about last week, the better. Let’s start with this week’s tips!
Liverpool vs Sheffield United – Liverpool to win to nil – Yes @ 2.20
The reigning Premier League champions have endured a tough couple of weeks. Firstly, they lost 7-2 to an Aston Villa outfit many had pegged to be relegated this season. Secondly, crucial defender Virgil Van Dijk went down with a suspected ACL injury in their 2-2 draw with local rivals Everton. However, we’re backing them in to bounce back domestically this weekend as they face relegation battlers Sheffield United. We’re confident that if they can keep a clean sheet against Ajax in the Champions League, then Chris Wilder’s side should be a walk in the park. Speaking of the Blades, they’ve only managed two goals this season in the league, with one coming late on against Arsenal and the other from the penalty spot 85 minutes into a game with fellow cellar dwellers Fulham. Although some semblance of form is starting to find its way into the side, the Reds should be far too strong for them both in attack and in defence. We’ll go with 2 units here.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Handicap (incl. Overtime) – Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5 @ 1.93
We’re heading to the desert here for Sunday Night Football, as the Raiders host Tampa Bay in primetime. Both teams are coming off impressive victories against the Chiefs and the Packers in their most recent matchups, but it’s Tom Brady’s Buccaneers that we’re going with here. Although the Raiders dismantling of defending champions Kansas City was impressive, the Tampa defense is a completely different beast. The Bucs allow the fewest rushing yards to their opposition of any team in the NFL – just 64.3 yards per contest and 58.3 in their past 3 games – even without stud DT Vita Vea. Their pass rush and secondary are also in red hot form, allowing under 200 passing yards per outing in their past 3 matches and on the road – good for 5th and 6th best in the NFL. The Raiders may find it tough to move the chains in this one. On the other side of the ball, Tom Brady has plenty of weapons to ensure his men put up a winning score. The Raiders are a better side than many expected, but we suspect that this is a task too herculean for Derek Carr and Jon Gruden. 1 unit for this one.
New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills – Handicap (Incl. Overtime) – Buffalo Bills -14.5 @ 2.27
The Jets were torched by Miami last time out, and lost to the Bills in the first meeting, when Josh Allen had 313 passing yards. There is no line big enough for the Jets these days. The question is, can the Jets even win a game this season? The Bills come off a two-game losing streak, where their defense has struggled and Josh Allen has been kept relatively quiet, so we expect them to come out guns blazing. The Bills are 6-2 in their last 8 as favourites, while the Jets are just an Owen Wilson meme by every metric. The stats say that the Bills will almost certainly win, but by how much? 2 Units here.
UFC 254 – Alexander Volkov vs Walt Harris – Winner & Exact Rounds – Volkov & 1 @ 4.80
These are two world-class fighters, and this fight could easily headline a UFC Fight Night. In fact, the whole card is packed with talent and exciting match-ups! Walt ‘The Big Ticket’ Harris is past his best, but is still an absolute beast in the octagon, primarily a boxer with huge knockout power. Alexander ‘Drago’ Volkov, conversely, fights with a more diverse style, strongly leaning on Kyokushin. The steel-faced Russian from Moscow comes up against the experienced American from Alabama. Volkov is the former heavyweight champion of M-1 Global and Bellator, and holds a 31-8-0 record. 65% of those 31 career victories have come through KO, and we know that most knockouts happen early on in the fight. Volkov is yet to achieve a first-round KO in the UFC, so we’re backing him in here to hit that milestone in his 40th professional fight. 1 unit here.
AFL Grand Final – Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats – Richmond to win @ 1.85
We go again! After tipping Richmond last weekend at some tasty odds, we are going to back them once again. This time; in the biggest game of the year. Having come in from the 1.75 mark that we saw earlier in the week, this was once again the first tip that drew my eyes over the upcoming mega weekend of sport. While Geelong have been ever-so impressive of late, it’s hard to forget Richmond’s overall finals form as well as the last time these two sides met, just six weeks ago. Let’s start with the latter. The Tigers dominated from start to finish, missing four key players as well as having their ruckman and best forward go down during the second and third quarters respectively. The Tigers beat the Cats by 26 points in this instance, conceding just four goals. Important to note that Richmond squandered many chances in front of goal, kicking 7 goals, 15 behinds. The score flattered Geelong on this night. The Cats were indeed missing players who will feature in the Grand Final, I just feel that Richmond’s inclusions can be a little more impactful. Richmond have been here twice in the last three seasons and have had the game won by early stages in the third term. While I don’t expect that to necessarily happen this time, this cannot deter your level of faith in them.In what looks to be a rain plagued game, it will suit the best wet weather team in the comp in Richmond. Geelong’s slow and steady ball movement may struggle in the conditions, with Richmond’s defensive structure proving too much to dismantle. The Tigers’ pace in the front half though could relish these conditions as they so often have. Tigers to win their third flag in four years. 1 unit on this one too.
NRL Grand Final – Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm – Asian Handicap – Melbourne Storm -8.5 @ 2.90
All eyes are on the great Cameron Smith, one of the best to ever do it. Will this be his last ever NRL game? We think so, but we hope not! 430 games, 37 years old, 19 years in, most points ever, absolute legend. Is a fairytale ending on the cards? The Panthers are in red-hot form, as you would typically expect heading into a Grand Final. They bring in Brent Naden to start at centre, after not even getting off the bench last time out – this one could be a mistake. The Storm will field an unchanged team, and boast a 31 game Grand Final experience advantage over the Panthers. Sorry Panthers fans, the Storm are just too good. Had the NRL only kicked off 23 years ago when the Storm were formed, they would easily be considered the greatest team of all time, having featured in 10 Grand Finals since. Even with their short history, that notion is already on the cards, and this weekend we think they’ll add yet another notch in their belt. 2 units here!
Aston Villa Vs Leeds – 1×2 – Aston Villa @ 2.29
Dean Smiths side are quite rightly getting all the plaudits at the moment after a phenomenal start to the season which includes an absolute hammering of Liverpool. Indeed, Liverpool are the only team to score past them this season four games in, with clean sheets kept against Sheffield Utd, Fulham and most impressively Leicester. In a league full of calamitous keepers, they seem to have found a real gem in Emilio Martinez. Outfield they can boast a midfield that is up there in terms of quality, with a rejuvenated Ross Barkley added to the undoubted quality of Jack Grealish and the underrated John McGinn. Finally, with three goals in four, Ollie Watkins from Brentford looks an astute signing up front. Leeds have their own fair share of plaudits after a decent start to the season which has seen them narrowly lose to Liverpool, match Man City and turn over Sheffield Utd and Fulham. However, they suffered a second defeat of the season at home to Wolves on Monday night, and demonstrated that they do have the tendency not take full advantage when in the ascendancy against teams (a trait that was also in display at times in the Championship last season). They also go into this one in the midst of an mini injury crisis, with Kalvin Philips sidelined for six weeks and Liam Cooper also a doubt after being injured in the warmup against Wolves, leaving Robin Koch as potentially their only fit senior centre half for this game. With all the above in mind, it’s hard to see past a Villa win here. The Liverpool result was incredible, but even taking that out of the equation their other results have been extremely impressive. Leeds look like they can mix it with the big boys, but have also looked vulnerable at times against just about everyone they’ve played. Without Philips to marshal the side and with a very depleted looking backline the 2.29 on Villa looks value. 2 units here.
Multi odds – 580.24
If you like our weekend tip selections, feel free to copy from sports bet ID sport:3910007 and from there, you can add or remove legs at your own pleasing!
Also, remember that if all legs of this multi win and you back this same multi bet, we’ll give away some cheeky coupons!