The UFC returns this weekend with it’s 250th installation from the beautiful city of Sao Paulo in Brazil! Hometown hero Amanda Nunes will defend her UFC Featherweight Championship against Canada’s Felicia Spencer in the main event.
Other notable matches include Cody Garbrandt vs Raphael Assuncao, Neil Magny vs Anthony Rocco Martin and Aljamain Sterling vs Cody Sandhagen.
However, we’re going to be looking at the fights where you can make some decent profit through our UFC Multi Insurance Special! Click the link to see the T’s and C’s.
After a memorable return to action with UFC 249 last month, one can only hope this Saturday is just as unforgettable.
Amanda Nunes vs Felicia Spencer
Headlining the UFC 250 card is the Women’s Featherweight championship bout between Nunes (19-4-0, 13 KO’s) and Spencer (8-1-0, 2 KO’s). While most championships are pretty good on paper, this one is seemingly not. Given the 23 professional fights Nunes has competed in, compared to the 9 that Spencer, so far, has totalled.
Also making this lopsided is the fact that Nunes has successfully defended her title in 7 consecutive matches. She’s on a tear through the Women’s Featherweight division, winning her last 9 fights in the UFC. Spencer, has only 3 fights in the UFC, going 2-1, with the one loss coming via unanimous decision, in three rounds to Cris Cyborg in July of last year.
This fight seems to heavily favor Nunes, and the oddsmakers have proven that with the current odds being at 1.16. This will be the first time that Spencer, currently at 5.20, will be in a 5 round fight. The one thing going for Spencer is that she has won by submission in 4 of her 8 professional wins. If she can get Nunes in a position to be submitted, look for her to put all of her effort into making her tap. Early too.
If Spencer tries to out-strike Nunes, she’s in for a very early and dominant defeat. Either way, don’t expect this fight to last more than three rounds. If the past tells us anything, this bout won’t hit the 1.5 round mark.
We say the value play here is to go with the heavy favourite at 1.15. A set and forget for your multi. If you’re looking at supplemental value, putting some money on under 1.5 rounds at 2.60 is a distinct possibility, or TKO/KO as victory method.
Raphael Assuncao vs Cody Garbrandt
The co-main event of UFC 250 features two fighters desperately looking to stop losing streaks in the UFC. As co-main events go, this is a very lackluster bantamweight bout if recent showings are a reliable measuring stick to a matchup. Assuncao (27-7-0, 4 KO’s) is a Jiu-Jitsu style of fighter that prefers to play a ground game and submit his opponents. However, in his last two fights, he has been severely outclassed, losing a unanimous decision to Cory Sandhagen at UFC 241 and being submitted headlining a UFC Fight Night early in 2019.
As for Garbrandt (11-3-0, 9 KO’s), the story is quite the same. Starting his professional career 11-0 culminating in a Bantamweight title in December 2016, Garbrandt lost his title belt in his first defense to TJ Dillashaw by TKO in the 2nd round. In the rematch nine months later, he lost by TKO in the very 1st round. To make matters worse for Garbrandt, at UFC 235, he lost yet again to Pedro Munhoz via TKO in the 1st round.
This fight may not look like a great matchup, considering both fighters are out of form. However, it is a very important one as far as their life in the UFC is concerned. Assuncao, 37, needs this fight more than Garbrandt, 28, purely from the stance of age being a big factor in a fighter’s sustainability. At least that’s how UFC president Dana White sees it.
Although Assuncao is three inches shorter than Garbrandt, he does boast a one inch reach advantage. Granted, that’s not a huge discrepancy. But given he’s three inches shorter, it’s relatively surprising. This matchup will be dependent on two things from Assuncao, a 2.15 underdog. Will his takedowns be effective in this fight and can he also withstand Garbrandt’s assault? For Garbrandt, it’s quite simple. Can he stay disciplined and land his punches while defending the takedown?
We say Garbrandt in a close one at 1.68. This could go the other way given Garbrandt’s recent record, but we’re trusting him here to win at UFC 250.
Eddie Wineland vs Sean O’Malley
Fans of stand-up striking are in for a treat with this bout.
Eddie Wineland (24-13-1, 14 KO’s) takes on the undefeated Sean O’Malley (11-0-0, 7 KO’s) in a bantamweight bout. However, this fight will feel like a heavyweight bout, given how these fighters compete. In an interview leading up to this matchup, O’Malley, who is the clear favorite at 1.19 odds, said he is looking for a “viral knockout” of Wineland. I don’t doubt that is what will happen.
The 25-year-old O’Malley is an up and coming bantamweight knockout artist that has powerful punches. In saying that, his speed and his kicks are where he will have the upper hand against the 35-year-old Wineland. Combine that with a height and reach advantage of three inches, O’Malley is poised to keep his undefeated record intact. A win here would immensely help his rapid rise up the bantamweight division.
The one thing that O’Malley may have some trouble with, at first, is UFC veteran Wineland’s unorthodox stance when he fights. But with that stance comes major openings that O’Malley will try to take advantage of. If Wineland can catch a kick and takedown O’Malley, that may be the only opportunity to take a surprise victory. But at 4.50 odds currently, that is a pick that may be as short-lived as this fight appears it will be.
We say O’Malley at 1.19 odds is the current play. It’s hard not to see O’Malley walking out of UFC 250 on a high note. Also, O’Malley winning by KO/TKO could provide some great supplemental value on fight night.
Ian Heinisch vs Gerald Meerschaert
While this bout is on the prelim side of the card, this is a very intriguing matchup for the value that the underdog carries. Ian Heinisch (13-3-0, 4 KO’s) known for being a striker, comes into this matchup the slight favorite at 1.78. He faces submission artist Gerald Meerschaert (30-12-0, 22 wins via submission) who is currently sitting at 2.01 odds.
The interesting aspect about this matchup is the amount of fights the underdog, Meerschaert, has under his belt, despite being less than one year older than his opponent. Each fighter has lost two out of his last 4 fights, but Meerschaert has taken both of his losses by split decision He can count himself unlucky too. In both fights, he seemingly had more control and he perhaps should have been awarded the decision. He also boasts a whopping 5 inch reach advantage in this fight.
We say there is tremendous value at taking Meerschaert at 2.01 odds. Since Meerschaert has lost two recent fights via split-decision, look to play the odds of this fight going the distance or a submission finish.
Total Odds – 4.67
Although not the largest odds multiplier, there is plenty of value to be had here.
To copy this bet into your own bet slip, use bet no.1614809.
We hope you enjoy UFC 250 this weekend but also, we hope you can make some profit!