Welcome back fight lovers, the UFC is back after a week’s break and this week marks the second last fight night of the year.
This card is stacked with some amazing fights which could easily be part of a PPV main card, so we recommend tuning in this week.
The fight nights have been as good as they come in 2021 and we’re stoked for another fun card that is being headlined by another potential fight of the year.
The last card was the roughest week for our picks as both our selections in Miesha Tate & Michael Chiesa ended up losing close decisions, but we are back this week with some solid picks for you guys.
We’ll be breaking down this violent main event for you guys and spotting some smart betting lines, so let’s dive right in!
Rob Font vs Jose Aldo
An epic top-5 Bantamweight striking war makes for an exciting main event for us fight fans this weekend. The King of Rio makes his much-awaited return to the top against New England’s own Rob Font.
Rob Font’s stock has risen significantly in the past year as he went from being a lower ranked prospect to now headlining his 2nd UFC Fight Night in a potential title eliminator.
Font is regarded by most as the best jabber & one of the best boxers in the UFC. In his last 2 fights, he has been able to prove his diversity as a striker by knocking out one of the best power punchers in Marlon Moraes and beating former champion Cody Garbrandt in a 5-round war.
Rob Font landed nearly 200 strikes with close to 50% accuracy on one of the quickest hands in the UFC, Cody Garbrandt.
Font is a patient striker who leads the dance with his jab and if he can get his rhythm going then not many in the world can stop him.
Font’s draws out arguably one of the best fighters in the UFC’s history in Jose Aldo. The former Featherweight champion has found a new home in the Bantamweight division where we have seen him defeat top contenders like Marlon Vera & Pedro Munhoz.
Aldo is one of the most well-rounded fighters with a sharp boxing offense & defense, lethal leg kicks & impressive Jiu-jitsu.
The King of Rio has defeated some of the best fighters in the UFC like Korean Zombie, Frankie Edgar, Chad Mendes & Pedro Munhoz, etc.
This fight provides a striking spectacle involving an incredible clash of styles. Font has a traditional boxing approach with good takedown defense to keep the fight standing for the most part.
Contrarily, Aldo has also taken a more boxing approach to his more recent fights but his strengths also lie in leg kicks.
We think Aldo will look to mix things up using his leg kicks to compromise Font’s movement & his body hooks to tire him out. If Aldo mixes things up well instead of just boxing with Font, then that skyrockets his chances in this fight.
For Font to win we believe he must lead the dance, he needs to go first, pressure Aldo with his jabs and keep him at bay.
We’re going down under for our first bet this week, we’re parlaying both the Aussies, Jake Matthews & Jimmy Crute this weekend. Matthews draws out a tough contender in Jeremiah Wells, but we believe he has a more diverse skill set to get the win in this one.
Jimmy Crute has a very favorable matchup in which he holds a 70% takedown offense and his opponent has a weak 30% takedown defense, so we see a clear pathway to victory for him.
Our next bet comes in the co-main event which is a banger between two explosive strikers in the Lightweight Division. We believe Brad Riddell will come in with a smart game plan by looking to make this an MMA fight instead of a stand & bang which will be the secret to his win this weekend.
Our final best bet comes in the main event of the evening which is set to be another excellent fight. The fight is really close to call, but we see a good betting opportunity here in the over/under rounds market. We believe both fighters will fight smart and are very durable so this one should head to the championship rounds.